Poll: Trump practically deadlocked with 2020 Democrats in Florida

(FILE PHOTO by video screenshot/Getty)

President Donald Trump is statistically tied with Democrat presidential candidates former Vice President Joe Biden and Sens. Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders in the battleground state of Florida, according to new poll results from Florida Atlantic University.

Between the three candidates, Trump performs the worst against Warren, earning only 50.1 percent of the vote to her 49.9 percent. That puts him ahead of her by only 0.2 percentage points. Against both Biden and Sanders, on the other hand, he enjoys a slightly higher 1 percentage point lead.

All three leads are within the poll’s +/- 3.1 percentage points margin of error.

(Source: Florida Atlantic University)

The same may not be said of Trump’s 4 percentage point lead against Sen. Kamala Harris. That lead falls outside the margin of error, suggesting the flip-flopping senator would be toast were the election to be held today between her and the president.

While the results of FAU’s poll may seem bad at first glance, they actually represent an improvement for the president, in that previous polls had shown Trump performing far worse against all four candidates.

A Quinnipiac poll published in June found the president losing to Biden by a whopping 9 percentage points, losing to Sanders by 6 percentage points, losing to Warren by 4 percentage points and even “losing” to Harris by 1 percentage point (though to be clear, they were statistically tied).

(Source: RealClearPolitics)

The latest poll results were published Wednesday, a day after the president arrived in California to campaign for reelection and also address the state’s growing homelessness crisis.

“President Trump sent liberal California activists into a tizzy on Tuesday, as he executed a lunch-dinner-breakfast-lunch fundraising blitz expected to scoop up $15 million from wealthy Republicans in the state in the span of just two days,” Fox News reported.

While California is a far-left state, the president is, it would appear, hoping to maybe turn one or more blue states red next year.

“The president’s undeterred push westward came a day after he headlined a fiery rally in New Mexico, long a reliably liberal state that the Trump campaign has hoped to turn red in 2020,” Fox notes.

“Trump has been looking to find the next Wisconsin or Michigan — states that Democrats generally have won in presidential elections but that could surprise under certain conditions, as they did in 2016.”

The big concern by conservatives though is that every minute spent campaigning in decidedly blue states like California and New Mexico means less time spent campaigning in vital swing states like Florida, Colorado, Ohio, Nevada, and North Carolina.

The situation in Florida is reportedly dire, as the president has severed his ties with Susie Wiles, the political consultant who’d been advising his campaign in the state. As a result, Trump’s 2020 campaign is currently devoid of an advisor in Florida.

The only good news is that Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis — whose tenure in office thus far has been so successful that even members of the left have praised him — already has a replacement in mind.

“The move was made at the urging of Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who has been attempting to install his own allies in the state party,” Politico confirmed Tuesday.

“A senior Republican Party official on Tuesday confirmed Wiles’ departure, which followed weeks of behind-the-scenes drama that has prompted turnover at the highest levels of the state GOP apparatus. DeSantis personally made it clear he wanted Wiles out, according to two senior Republicans familiar with discussions between DeSantis and the Trump campaign.”

DeSantis’s successful campaign for governor and equally successful efforts while on the job suggest that his judgment is worth trusting.

Still, it wouldn’t hurt for the president to spend more time in Florida and perhaps even address its own homelessness problem. While homelessness is a far less significant issue in the Sunshine State, it still exists there.

Take the case of James Wilson, 30, a homeless Okaloosa County man who went on a vandalism spree two weeks ago allegedly because of the president. According to the Tampa Bay Times, his vandalism caused an estimated $20,000 in damage.

“Wilson on Monday smashed the windows of 20 cars parked at the Holiday Inn Resort at 1299 Miracle Strip Parkway on Okaloosa Island with rocks and beat the cars with a belt buckle,” the Times reported on Sept. 11.

When apprehended by authorities, he reportedly told them, “Take me to jail. I did it because Donald Trump owes me one trillion dollars, and these vehicles belong to the mafia.”

(Source: Okaloosa County Sheriff’s Office)

Dovetailing back to FAU’s poll, it did contain one piece of good news for Trump.

“Overall, the most important issue in deciding for whom voters will choose for President is the economy at 21%, immigration at 19%, healthcare at 18% and the environment at 11%,” the official results read.

So long as the economy continues to boom, Trump should be able to maintain and perhaps even extend his lead.


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Vivek Saxena


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