With a wealth of recent polls showing President Joe Biden trailing former President Donald Trump in Sun Belt states, it’s looking increasingly likely that Biden will have to win the key Rust Belt battlegrounds to secure reelection.
Trump is currently leading in the general election by 1.1% and has consistently posted leads in almost every battleground state, according to RealClearPolitics averages. However, Biden’s polling has fallen more in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina, with Trump leading by 5.2%, 4.6%, 6.2%, and 5.4% respectively.
But Trump’s Rust Belt margins are thinner, with the former President leading Biden in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin by 0.8%, 2%, and 0.6% respectively.
If Biden is unable to make up ground in the Sun Belt, his path to 270 electoral votes may hinge on winning the Midwest.
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“Rust Belt Poll: Keystone Battleground
Below are the interview details from the Rust Belt… pic.twitter.com/PhO9qhEZQn— Donald J. Trump Posts From His Truth Social (@TrumpDailyPosts) November 22, 2023
Biden won six of the aforementioned seven swing states in 2020, including a razor-thin victory in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, with 2.8%, 0.2%, and 0.6% respectively. Biden also won Nevada, Arizona, and Georgia with 2.4%, 0.3%, and 0.2% respectively.
The president’s campaign has also targeted the Rust Belt in recent months, making campaign appearances in Michigan and Wisconsin and focusing his messaging on industry and infrastructure. During an interview in Wisconsin, Biden jabbed at Trump’s employment record, claiming “he’s never succeeded at creating jobs, and I’ve never failed.”
However, Biden has imposed environmental regulations on the automotive industry and began cracking down on the steel industry’s emissions. In Michigan alone, the automotive industry consists of roughly 29.8% of employees across the state.
I had a great time meeting with the Crawford family and other folks from the community at their family’s local business in Detroit, CRED Cafe.
Small businesses like these are the heart and soul of our communities, and we’ll keep fighting to protect them. pic.twitter.com/h0rJm6wbXQ
— Joe Biden (@JoeBiden) May 20, 2024
The Biden campaign did not immediately respond to the Daily Caller News Foundation’s request for comment.
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