‘Cheney is going to get beat’: WY primary a ‘foregone conclusion’ as Trump-backed opponent surges

(Video Credit: Fox News)

Anti-Trump crusader Rep. Liz Cheney (R-Wy.) is floundering as the Wyoming primary election draws near after a new poll revealed that her former President Donald Trump-supported opponent will likely blow Cheney out of the water.

Former Wyoming national Republican committeewoman Harriet Hageman had a 22 percent lead over Cheney according to the first independent state poll performed from July 7 to July 11 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy for the Casper Star Tribune.

Of the 1,100 registered Wyoming likely voters, 52 percent indicated they would support Hageman, only 30 percent were behind Cheney, and 11 percent of voters remained undecided. No other candidate had more than 5 percent of the surveyed voter’s support. The margin of error was plus or minus 3 percent.

The managing director of Mason-Dixon said the anticipated outcome of the Aug. 16 primary was very clear.

“The big story is Liz Cheney is going to get beat,” said Brad Coker. “That’s a foregone conclusion.”

Although Cheney claims she is fighting for “everyday Wyomingites,” 63 percent of likely voters opposed her serving on the Jan. 6 sham committee that appears to be seeking to destroy the lives of anyone that peacefully protested at the Capitol and discredit Trump in a bid to prevent his reelection in 2024.

Named the “least popular member of Congress” last year, her popularity has maintained its downward trajectory as Cheney has been grasping at straws in the past weeks, trying to appeal to Democrats in the Cowboy State in hopes of hanging on to her seat as the state’s lone representative in the House.

Even though the left has dubbed her the “unexpected hero for Democrats,” CNN’s senior data reporter Harry Enten cautioned readers that “we shouldn’t mistake adoring press coverage and bipartisan bona fides for popularity in the place where popularity matters most for Cheney: Wyoming,” and noted that the Democrat vote in Wyoming “probably won’t do much for her” due to the lack of Democrats in the state.

Fundraising numbers also shed light on the candidate’s potential success in the primary with Hageman pulling in nearly double the amount of money ($650,000) from inside Wyoming compared to Cheney’s paltry in-state haul ($270,000) according to Enten.  The vast majority of Cheney’s $10 million coffers were funded by out-of-state money as of March 31 reporting.

The “problem for Cheney is that there isn’t a lot of room in the Republican Party for those who voted to impeach Trump. A 2021 Pew Research Center poll found that 64% of Republicans said the party should not be accepting of those who had,” Enten said.

“In sum, the statistics are daunting for Cheney heading into her August primary,” he continued. “It’s no wonder that the betting markets give her less than a 10% chance of earning another term in office.”

“That doesn’t mean Cheney can’t win,” Enten concluded. “It would just be quite surprising.”

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