One year to the day away from the next president taking the oath of office, Fox News’ Tucker Carlson said that because of a booming economy and the “freak show” that is the Democratic primary, some Republicans are “starting to think victory is assured.”
Saying “that is a mistake,” Carlson warned Republicans that President Trump “could lose.”
“America remains as divided as it was three years ago, so no matter what happens, nobody is going to win this election in a national landslide,” he opined. “Those don’t happen anymore.”
The Fox News host said the deciding factor will be what Trump decides to run on, as he looked back on how effective the president’s message was in 2016 and how voters responded.
Citing a Pew poll, Carlson said that while things are better three years later, all of our problems are not fixed.
“Consider the state of the economy,” he said. “The big numbers, unemployment and inflation, to name two, tell one story, and it’s a good story, but dig a little deeper.”
“In that survey, 56% of Americans said the economy was excellent or good, and that’s good news,” Carlson explained. “But then there was this — only 31% said the economy was helping them and their families. Just 32% thought the current economy was helping the middle class… 58% thought the opposite.”
“Among lower income Republicans, 47% said economic conditions are hurting them,” he added. “Just 30% said they were helping.”
Carlson went on to say that for a lot of the middle-class, wages are not keeping up with expenses, and while these may be economic problems, they require a political solution.
“The candidate who makes it easier for a 30-year-old to get married and have kids will win the election. And will deserve to win,” he said. “Remember that.”
“Improve people’s lives and they will vote for you. Period. Republicans ought to write that on their hands,” Carlson emphasized.
The alternative, he pointed out, is “the lunacy on display on the left right now.”
Enter Bernie Sanders, who may very well be the Democratic nominee, according to Carlson.
“Winning candidates come with their own program. They convince voters they will make things better,” the Fox News host said.
And while it may be correct to declare that socialism doesn’t work, that alone is not going to be enough.
“If Sanders pledges to forgive student loans, he will still win many thousands of voters who went for Donald Trump last time,” he suggested. “Why? Because debt is crushing an entire generation of Americans. Republicans need to make a plan to make it better or they will be left behind.”
Carlson also implored Republicans not to ignore the social issues.
Noting that the Republican establishment “despises this conversation,” he said that “normal people know that the social fabric is falling apart.”
“Don’t be embarrassed about it. Democrats are waging the most aggressive possible campaign against everything normal people think is virtuous,” he said, before laying out the details of “chaos” the party is inviting.
“Democrats aren’t promising change, they’re promising revolution,” Carlson insisted. “Centuries of American history and culture abolished — a nation starting over from scratch, near zero.”
The important factor here, according to Carlson, is that most people are not for that.
“They may be anxious about the future, but they don’t hate America. They don’t want to topple George Washington and implement Maoism,” he observed.
“They’re conservative in the most basic sense,” Carlson concluded. “They love their families above all. They distrust radical theories of anything because they know, and they’re right, that when the world turns upside down, ordinary people get hurt. They don’t want to burn it down. They just want things to get better.
“The candidate who promises to make them better, incrementally, but tangibly, will be inaugurated president a year from today.”
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