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We all heard it repeated ad nauseam from opponents and critics on the right. Donald Trump can never beat Hillary Clinton. There is NO evidence he even belongs on the same stage with her. Just look at the head-to-head polling! He’s losing and losing big in EVERY one of them. The sky is falling, and we MUST elect someone who can win in the Fall.
Oh, how wrong they all were.
In a ten point swing from April’s polling, this month’s Fox News Poll shows Donald Trump pulling ahead of Hillary Clinton in a hypothetical head-to-head matchup, 45-42 percent (April’s poll had Clinton ahead 48-41 percent).
Clinton’s 13 point edge with women (50-36) is more than made up for by Trump’s 22 point domination among men, 55 – 33 percent.
Among whites, Trump is up 55-31 percent. Even more surprisingly given the media’s negative coverage of Trump’s supposed lack of popularity among women, he even leads among white women 47-38 percent.
Hillary Clinton’s lead among blacks (90-7) isn’t surprising, but her lead with Hispanics (62-23, or 39 percent) is actually smaller than the 44 percent Hispanic victory margin won by President Obama over Mitt Romney. In other words, if the election were held today Trump would actually do better among Hispanics than Mitt Romney did in 2012, according to the poll.
Another point of criticism, of course, was Trump’s negative numbers. Well, these are also on the decline as Hillary Clinton’s continues to rise. Clinton’s unfavorable rating rose from 58 percent to 61 percent from April to May. Meanwhile, Trump’s negatives declined from a record high of 65 percent two months ago to 56 percent in May.
Trump also has a higher favorable rating than Clinton, leading her 41 percent to 37 percent.
Sure, both candidates have a LONG way to go, but other campaigns have also matched up immensely unpopular candidates at this point in the election. When? 1980 is a great example, and we all know what happened there!
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